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Toledo at Akron
Sat Jan 16, 2021
2:00pm ET
Akron, OH
Toledo at Akron: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 3.5, Total Points: 148
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | AKR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-17-0 | 15-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 11-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| Away | 8-9-0 | 7-13-1 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
Akron Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | S Dakota St | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | S Mississippi | -7.5 | W by 18 | +10.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Heidelberg | -- | W by 58 | -- |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Florida Intl | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Utah St | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Drake | +1.5 | L by 20 | -18.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | UNLV | +3.5 | L by 2 | +1.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Bradley | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | N Kentucky | -3.0 | W by 1 | -2.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Miami-Hamilton | -- | W by 43 | -- |
| 12/21 | Home | Gard-Webb | -10.0 | W by 4 | -6.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | St Bonavent | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | N Illinois | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Bowling Grn | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Ball St | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Buffalo | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | W Michigan | -14.0 | W by 11 | -3.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Kent St | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ohio | -8.0 | W by 9 | +1.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miami (OH) | -8.0 | L by 2 | -10.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | E Michigan | -11.0 | W by 31 | +20.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Toledo | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Central Mich | -13.5 | W by 21 | +7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Buffalo | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Toledo | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 02/23 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Ohio | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | N Illinois | -17.0 | W by 7 | -10.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | E Michigan | -21.0 | L by 1 | -22.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | W Michigan | -9.0 | L by 6 | -15.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Miami (OH) | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Kent St | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Creighton | +11.5 | L by 17 | -5.5 |
| TOL -3.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1835 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 1109 times (60.4%).
- The team like Akron won the game 726 times (39.6%).
- The team like Akron did better against the spread, going 908-890-37 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 101 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 56-45 (55.4% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -4.0 | -3.5 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/16 01:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 01:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/16 01:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/16 12:29 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 11:47 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 10:59 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 09:58 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/16 09:44 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/16 09:17 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 08:08 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 06:29 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 01:26 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/16 12:56 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 11:25 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/15 08:42 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/15 07:38 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:56 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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