NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC ORU
Points 70.8 68.4
Total Points   139.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 22.0
Points From Free Throws 14.0 16.0
Shooting KC ORU
Field Goals Made 24.1 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 53.2
Field Goal % 40.0% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 14.0 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 20.8
Free Throw % 72.1% 77.1%
Ball Control KC ORU
Rebounds 39.5 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 5.8
Turnovers 9.6 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.6
Steals 4.8 4.6
Fouls 15.8 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC ORU
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 65.3
% of Possessions with KC ORU
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 28.6%
Player Fouled 23.1% 22.6%
Turnover 13.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC ORU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 17.5%