NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC SDST
Points 66.9 71.4
Total Points   138.3
Points From 2-Pointers 24.6 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 31.5 20.7
Points From Free Throws 10.8 16.7
Shooting KC SDST
Field Goals Made 22.8 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 50.9
Field Goal % 38.8% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 12.3 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 26.9 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 31.8 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 10.8 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 22.8
Free Throw % 72.1% 73.3%
Ball Control KC SDST
Rebounds 34.4 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 5.8
Turnovers 11.1 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.3
Steals 6.0 5.3
Fouls 19.2 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC SDST
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 64.2
% of Possessions with KC SDST
2 Point Attempt 33.4% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 39.6% 26.5%
Player Fouled 18.9% 27.6%
Turnover 15.9% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC SDST
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 19.1%