NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC WIU
Points 65.4 62.4
Total Points   127.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 14.0
Points From Free Throws 11.3 15.0
Shooting KC WIU
Field Goals Made 23.5 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 52.1
Field Goal % 37.9% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 15.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 11.3 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 24.0
Free Throw % 72.1% 62.4%
Ball Control KC WIU
Rebounds 36.4 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.0
Turnovers 8.8 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.0
Steals 6.3 4.4
Fouls 17.4 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC WIU
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 67.1
% of Possessions with KC WIU
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 19.0%
Player Fouled 19.6% 25.4%
Turnover 12.9% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC WIU
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 30.8%