NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC WIGB
Points 68.3 67.0
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 29.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 21.9
Points From Free Throws 14.3 15.8
Shooting KC WIGB
Field Goals Made 23.4 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 50.2
Field Goal % 41.5% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 26.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 14.3 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 22.1
Free Throw % 72.1% 71.5%
Ball Control KC WIGB
Rebounds 35.5 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 6.3
Turnovers 9.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.9 1.7
Steals 5.1 4.0
Fouls 18.0 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC WIGB
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 62.7
% of Possessions with KC WIGB
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 35.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 30.7%
Player Fouled 24.2% 26.5%
Turnover 13.6% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC WIGB
Shot Blocked 3.4% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 19.9%