NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC OKLA
Points 61.6 75.3
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.0 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 18.2
Points From Free Throws 12.2 21.6
Shooting KC OKLA
Field Goals Made 21.1 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 48.9
Field Goal % 37.1% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 12.2 21.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 29.4
Free Throw % 72.1% 73.5%
Ball Control KC OKLA
Rebounds 30.9 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 7.6
Turnovers 11.2 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.7
Steals 5.6 5.3
Fouls 20.4 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC OKLA
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 66.5
% of Possessions with KC OKLA
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 23.3%
Player Fouled 21.2% 29.2%
Turnover 16.1% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC OKLA
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 25.8%