NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC KSU
Points 61.9 72.0
Total Points   133.9
Points From 2-Pointers 25.9 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 16.9
Points From Free Throws 14.4 22.0
Shooting KC KSU
Field Goals Made 20.2 22.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 47.8
Field Goal % 33.8% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 12.9 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 29.5
2 Point Shooting % 38.8% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 14.4 22.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 30.6
Free Throw % 72.1% 71.9%
Ball Control KC KSU
Rebounds 34.2 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.4
Turnovers 11.2 13.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.3
Steals 6.4 5.2
Fouls 20.9 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC KSU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 66.3
% of Possessions with KC KSU
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 36.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 22.6%
Player Fouled 22.3% 29.3%
Turnover 15.7% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC KSU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 27.4%