NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring QNC PEAY
Points 80.0 83.6
Total Points   163.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.1 46.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 22.3
Points From Free Throws 18.0 14.4
Shooting QNC PEAY
Field Goals Made 27.5 30.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 62.6
Field Goal % 47.6% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 23.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 18.0 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 20.3
Free Throw % 71.0% 70.9%
Ball Control QNC PEAY
Rebounds 34.4 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.1
Turnovers 9.6 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.6
Steals 4.3 6.1
Fouls 15.5 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Queens

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QNC PEAY
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 74.8
% of Possessions with QNC PEAY
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 25.1%
Player Fouled 24.0% 21.2%
Turnover 13.1% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken QNC PEAY
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 28.9%