NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU WEBB
Points 70.5 75.5
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 24.0
Points From Free Throws 17.2 14.9
Shooting NCCU WEBB
Field Goals Made 23.7 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 57.3
Field Goal % 43.0% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 17.2 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 24.3
Free Throw % 69.0% 61.5%
Ball Control NCCU WEBB
Rebounds 33.7 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 11.9
Turnovers 9.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.8
Steals 5.3 4.3
Fouls 16.3 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Gard-Webb

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU WEBB
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 72.8
% of Possessions with NCCU WEBB
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 27.9%
Player Fouled 24.3% 23.0%
Turnover 13.6% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU WEBB
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 32.4%