NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEBB WIN
Points 73.6 73.9
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 18.8
Points From Free Throws 13.9 20.9
Shooting WEBB WIN
Field Goals Made 25.6 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 51.5
Field Goal % 43.8% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 13.9 20.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 30.1
Free Throw % 61.5% 69.3%
Ball Control WEBB WIN
Rebounds 36.4 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 8.8
Turnovers 11.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.6
Steals 5.7 5.0
Fouls 21.4 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Winthrop

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEBB WIN
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 69.8
% of Possessions with WEBB WIN
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 23.3%
Player Fouled 22.4% 29.6%
Turnover 15.5% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEBB WIN
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 26.1%