NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEBB CAMP
Points 77.2 69.8
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 30.3 19.7
Points From Free Throws 9.7 14.9
Shooting WEBB CAMP
Field Goals Made 28.7 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 54.1
Field Goal % 47.0% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 9.7 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 20.8
Free Throw % 61.5% 71.6%
Ball Control WEBB CAMP
Rebounds 37.8 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 6.2
Turnovers 10.2 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.9
Steals 5.8 5.2
Fouls 16.9 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Gard-Webb

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEBB CAMP
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 66.4
% of Possessions with WEBB CAMP
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 24.9%
Player Fouled 18.9% 23.9%
Turnover 14.4% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEBB CAMP
Shot Blocked 3.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 18.6%