NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEBB RAD
Points 72.6 70.9
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 19.1
Points From Free Throws 12.1 12.9
Shooting WEBB RAD
Field Goals Made 26.1 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 58.8
Field Goal % 43.3% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 12.1 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 17.5
Free Throw % 61.5% 73.7%
Ball Control WEBB RAD
Rebounds 38.1 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 9.7
Turnovers 9.1 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.6
Steals 4.1 4.6
Fouls 14.1 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Gard-Webb

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEBB RAD
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 69.7
% of Possessions with WEBB RAD
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 23.3%
Player Fouled 20.9% 20.4%
Turnover 13.1% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEBB RAD
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 27.3%