NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEBB HAMP
Points 76.2 66.4
Total Points   142.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 17.1
Points From Free Throws 12.5 14.4
Shooting WEBB HAMP
Field Goals Made 27.5 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 58.4
Field Goal % 43.9% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 12.5 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 19.8
Free Throw % 61.5% 72.7%
Ball Control WEBB HAMP
Rebounds 41.5 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 29.4 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.9
Turnovers 9.3 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.6
Steals 5.9 4.6
Fouls 15.6 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Gard-Webb

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEBB HAMP
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 75.1 70.6
% of Possessions with WEBB HAMP
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 24.2%
Player Fouled 19.4% 21.7%
Turnover 12.8% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEBB HAMP
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 23.2%