NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEBB ECU
Points 69.7 71.2
Total Points   140.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 17.7
Points From Free Throws 11.9 15.7
Shooting WEBB ECU
Field Goals Made 24.6 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 56.8
Field Goal % 43.9% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 11.9 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 22.8
Free Throw % 61.5% 68.6%
Ball Control WEBB ECU
Rebounds 36.3 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.2
Turnovers 11.6 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.1
Steals 4.7 7.0
Fouls 15.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Gard-Webb

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEBB ECU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 70.9
% of Possessions with WEBB ECU
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 23.4%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.5%
Turnover 16.7% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEBB ECU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 28.2%