NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNLV UCLA
Points 65.9 64.7
Total Points   130.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 16.2
Points From Free Throws 15.2 14.4
Shooting UNLV UCLA
Field Goals Made 22.0 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 54.4
Field Goal % 42.8% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 15.2 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 19.4
Free Throw % 73.0% 74.3%
Ball Control UNLV UCLA
Rebounds 32.4 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.1
Turnovers 10.1 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.6
Steals 4.3 5.1
Fouls 15.1 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: UCLA

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNLV UCLA
Total Possessions 65.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 66.8
% of Possessions with UNLV UCLA
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 22.4%
Player Fouled 25.5% 23.1%
Turnover 15.5% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNLV UCLA
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 32.1%