NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE BUCK
Points 59.9 67.5
Total Points   127.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 24.5
Points From Free Throws 11.7 10.7
Shooting SIE BUCK
Field Goals Made 21.1 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 56.9
Field Goal % 38.1% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 11.7 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 15.2
Free Throw % 68.7% 70.3%
Ball Control SIE BUCK
Rebounds 37.7 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.1
Turnovers 11.7 9.2
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.6
Steals 4.5 7.4
Fouls 13.6 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Siena

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE BUCK
Total Possessions 65.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 65.8
% of Possessions with SIE BUCK
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 31.8%
Player Fouled 21.3% 20.6%
Turnover 17.8% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE BUCK
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 26.4%