NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE ARMY
Points 60.0 61.1
Total Points   121.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 30.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 22.1
Points From Free Throws 11.2 8.1
Shooting SIE ARMY
Field Goals Made 21.3 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 56.8
Field Goal % 39.9% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 11.2 8.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 13.5
Free Throw % 68.7% 60.0%
Ball Control SIE ARMY
Rebounds 37.7 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.5
Turnovers 11.7 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.0
Steals 5.0 6.6
Fouls 12.5 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE ARMY
Total Possessions 64.9
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 65.0
% of Possessions with SIE ARMY
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 31.1%
Player Fouled 21.3% 19.2%
Turnover 18.0% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE ARMY
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 25.8%