NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE QUIN
Points 70.7 73.9
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 17.4
Points From Free Throws 16.1 15.6
Shooting SIE QUIN
Field Goals Made 23.6 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 60.6
Field Goal % 40.7% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 16.1 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 20.4
Free Throw % 74.9% 76.4%
Ball Control SIE QUIN
Rebounds 33.6 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 11.4
Turnovers 10.4 11.2
Blocked Shots 6.0 4.8
Steals 6.8 7.1
Fouls 13.7 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE QUIN
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 72.5
% of Possessions with SIE QUIN
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 22.2%
Player Fouled 23.6% 19.0%
Turnover 14.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE QUIN
Shot Blocked 8.2% 10.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 31.3%