NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE SBON
Points 56.5 77.8
Total Points   134.3
Points From 2-Pointers 28.4 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 22.7
Points From Free Throws 11.0 14.6
Shooting SIE SBON
Field Goals Made 19.9 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 57.8
Field Goal % 37.9% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 11.0 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 18.9
Free Throw % 68.7% 77.3%
Ball Control SIE SBON
Rebounds 32.6 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.9
Turnovers 14.5 7.8
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.5
Steals 3.4 8.2
Fouls 13.6 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE SBON
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 62.9 69.3
% of Possessions with SIE SBON
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 26.2%
Player Fouled 20.0% 20.2%
Turnover 21.5% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE SBON
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 30.7%