NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE RID
Points 62.4 72.4
Total Points   134.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 17.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 14.4
Shooting SIE RID
Field Goals Made 21.6 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 60.2
Field Goal % 38.2% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 43.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 13.1 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 18.8
Free Throw % 68.7% 76.3%
Ball Control SIE RID
Rebounds 37.0 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.1
Turnovers 12.2 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.2
Steals 4.8 7.2
Fouls 13.9 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Siena

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE RID
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 71.4
% of Possessions with SIE RID
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 53.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 20.3%
Player Fouled 20.6% 20.2%
Turnover 17.8% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE RID
Shot Blocked 7.1% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 30.7%