NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE GTWN
Points 66.2 78.1
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 25.7
Points From Free Throws 11.9 16.0
Shooting SIE GTWN
Field Goals Made 24.2 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 59.2
Field Goal % 44.2% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 11.9 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 22.2
Free Throw % 68.7% 72.0%
Ball Control SIE GTWN
Rebounds 33.6 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 12.8
Turnovers 12.9 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.5
Steals 4.9 6.7
Fouls 14.9 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Siena

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE GTWN
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 72.7
% of Possessions with SIE GTWN
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 28.5%
Player Fouled 20.2% 21.9%
Turnover 18.9% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE GTWN
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 36.0%