NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE MAN
Points 66.2 68.2
Total Points   134.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 21.6
Points From Free Throws 10.7 9.3
Shooting SIE MAN
Field Goals Made 24.6 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 61.2
Field Goal % 43.1% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 10.7 9.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 12.7
Free Throw % 68.7% 73.2%
Ball Control SIE MAN
Rebounds 39.5 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 8.7
Turnovers 13.2 9.5
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.4
Steals 5.4 8.7
Fouls 11.7 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Siena

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE MAN
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 68.5
% of Possessions with SIE MAN
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 28.6%
Player Fouled 17.3% 16.8%
Turnover 19.0% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 12.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE MAN
Shot Blocked 5.6% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 23.6%