NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIE MRST
Points 54.1 65.4
Total Points   119.5
Points From 2-Pointers 26.9 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 20.6
Points From Free Throws 11.9 11.4
Shooting SIE MRST
Field Goals Made 18.6 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 49.7 55.2
Field Goal % 37.3% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 11.9 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 15.7
Free Throw % 68.7% 72.8%
Ball Control SIE MRST
Rebounds 35.8 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 7.9
Turnovers 14.4 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.0
Steals 4.9 7.6
Fouls 13.6 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Marist

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIE MRST
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 61.3 64.5
% of Possessions with SIE MRST
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 26.2%
Player Fouled 20.9% 20.7%
Turnover 22.0% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 11.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIE MRST
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 23.4%