NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIU MOSU
Points 70.0 70.2
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 13.1
Points From Free Throws 13.4 14.6
Shooting SIU MOSU
Field Goals Made 23.9 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 55.5
Field Goal % 40.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 15.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 13.4 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 20.8
Free Throw % 77.2% 70.3%
Ball Control SIU MOSU
Rebounds 32.5 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 9.1
Turnovers 8.2 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.1
Steals 4.9 3.7
Fouls 16.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIU MOSU
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 67.9
% of Possessions with SIU MOSU
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 19.4%
Player Fouled 21.3% 23.8%
Turnover 11.9% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIU MOSU
Shot Blocked 9.4% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 27.4%