NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIU BRAD
Points 64.8 71.7
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 25.3 41.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 17.4
Points From Free Throws 16.5 13.1
Shooting SIU BRAD
Field Goals Made 20.3 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 53.7
Field Goal % 38.9% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 12.6 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 29.0 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 16.5 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 17.6
Free Throw % 77.2% 74.3%
Ball Control SIU BRAD
Rebounds 30.8 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 7.8
Turnovers 11.1 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.9
Steals 5.2 6.0
Fouls 15.3 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: S Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIU BRAD
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 64.8
% of Possessions with SIU BRAD
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 23.0%
Player Fouled 23.3% 22.8%
Turnover 16.5% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIU BRAD
Shot Blocked 9.2% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 26.0%