NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIU EVAN
Points 72.4 66.1
Total Points   138.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 13.6
Points From Free Throws 14.8 13.0
Shooting SIU EVAN
Field Goals Made 24.2 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 53.4
Field Goal % 44.6% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 27.9 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 14.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 14.8 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 18.7
Free Throw % 77.2% 69.9%
Ball Control SIU EVAN
Rebounds 33.8 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 6.3
Turnovers 10.7 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.4
Steals 5.5 5.5
Fouls 16.5 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIU EVAN
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 64.5
% of Possessions with SIU EVAN
2 Point Attempt 35.8% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 19.1%
Player Fouled 22.5% 24.1%
Turnover 15.6% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIU EVAN
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 19.5%