NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIU MURR
Points 71.4 68.0
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.8 13.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 13.5
Shooting SIU MURR
Field Goals Made 24.3 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 53.1
Field Goal % 47.2% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 25.9 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 14.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 13.1 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 19.5
Free Throw % 77.2% 68.9%
Ball Control SIU MURR
Rebounds 30.6 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 7.6
Turnovers 10.6 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.2
Steals 4.0 5.2
Fouls 15.6 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Murray St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIU MURR
Total Possessions 65.6
Effective Scoring Chances 61.7 64.7
% of Possessions with SIU MURR
2 Point Attempt 35.2% 52.0%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 19.4%
Player Fouled 23.4% 23.8%
Turnover 16.2% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIU MURR
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 24.1%