NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIU L-IL
Points 66.4 69.9
Total Points   136.4
Points From 2-Pointers 27.7 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 15.6
Points From Free Throws 17.4 14.8
Shooting SIU L-IL
Field Goals Made 21.0 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 52.8
Field Goal % 40.0% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 17.4 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 21.9
Free Throw % 77.2% 67.6%
Ball Control SIU L-IL
Rebounds 31.3 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 7.6
Turnovers 11.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 6.0
Steals 5.1 6.2
Fouls 17.9 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: S Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIU L-IL
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 65.8
% of Possessions with SIU L-IL
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 20.9%
Player Fouled 27.4% 25.9%
Turnover 16.4% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIU L-IL
Shot Blocked 11.5% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 23.9%