NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIU SEMO
Points 79.1 60.5
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 10.8
Points From Free Throws 21.3 11.5
Shooting SIU SEMO
Field Goals Made 25.9 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 49.9 56.5
Field Goal % 51.8% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 42.7
2 Point Shooting % 63.8% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 3.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 13.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 26.2%
Free Throws Made 21.3 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 27.6 16.3
Free Throw % 77.2% 70.6%
Ball Control SIU SEMO
Rebounds 35.8 28.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 20.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 8.0
Turnovers 10.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.8
Steals 5.4 4.3
Fouls 15.5 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: SE Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIU SEMO
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 66.4
% of Possessions with SIU SEMO
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 54.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 17.7%
Player Fouled 28.9% 22.4%
Turnover 14.5% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIU SEMO
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 22.1%