NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RUTG WIS
Points 63.6 71.7
Total Points   135.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 22.9
Points From Free Throws 12.6 15.5
Shooting RUTG WIS
Field Goals Made 22.9 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 56.4
Field Goal % 41.8% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 12.6 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 20.7
Free Throw % 67.7% 75.1%
Ball Control RUTG WIS
Rebounds 31.6 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 10.7
Turnovers 10.6 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.4 2.3
Steals 5.6 6.4
Fouls 15.8 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RUTG WIS
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 68.6
% of Possessions with RUTG WIS
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 26.8%
Player Fouled 21.2% 22.9%
Turnover 15.3% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken RUTG WIS
Shot Blocked 4.3% 9.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 31.1%