NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RUTG IOWA
Points 70.1 75.7
Total Points   145.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 20.4
Points From Free Throws 14.6 16.7
Shooting RUTG IOWA
Field Goals Made 24.8 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 59.2
Field Goal % 39.6% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 14.6 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 21.5
Free Throw % 67.7% 77.4%
Ball Control RUTG IOWA
Rebounds 37.9 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 9.8
Turnovers 10.1 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.8
Steals 6.8 6.0
Fouls 14.9 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RUTG IOWA
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 75.4 71.7
% of Possessions with RUTG IOWA
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 23.1%
Player Fouled 19.3% 20.3%
Turnover 13.8% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken RUTG IOWA
Shot Blocked 8.3% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 27.8%