NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RUTG IND
Points 62.3 66.8
Total Points   129.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 15.8
Points From Free Throws 13.3 13.6
Shooting RUTG IND
Field Goals Made 21.4 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 53.9
Field Goal % 34.5% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 38.3% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 27.6% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 13.3 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 20.6
Free Throw % 67.7% 65.9%
Ball Control RUTG IND
Rebounds 36.4 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 9.5
Turnovers 9.1 13.8
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.4
Steals 8.3 4.9
Fouls 15.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RUTG IND
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 66.6
% of Possessions with RUTG IND
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 20.1%
Player Fouled 19.8% 21.8%
Turnover 12.9% 19.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 11.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken RUTG IND
Shot Blocked 8.4% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 28.3%