NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USI CHS
Points 66.7 68.9
Total Points   135.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 30.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 16.3
Points From Free Throws 16.5 22.4
Shooting USI CHS
Field Goals Made 22.0 20.5
Field Goals Attempted 51.5 49.4
Field Goal % 42.7% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 16.5 22.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 31.8
Free Throw % 75.1% 70.5%
Ball Control USI CHS
Rebounds 34.1 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.0
Turnovers 14.2 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.8
Steals 5.4 8.1
Fouls 19.1 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago St

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USI CHS
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 69.3
% of Possessions with USI CHS
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 22.4%
Player Fouled 25.0% 27.5%
Turnover 20.4% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken USI CHS
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 31.8%