NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG CCSU
Points 60.9 65.6
Total Points   126.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 18.4
Points From Free Throws 9.3 12.1
Shooting WAG CCSU
Field Goals Made 22.4 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 54.3
Field Goal % 38.0% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 40.7% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 9.3 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 17.0
Free Throw % 69.5% 71.4%
Ball Control WAG CCSU
Rebounds 35.0 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.0
Turnovers 8.4 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.8
Steals 5.0 4.4
Fouls 13.4 10.7

Playing Style Advantage: Central Conn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG CCSU
Total Possessions 65.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 64.7
% of Possessions with WAG CCSU
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 27.8%
Player Fouled 16.3% 20.5%
Turnover 12.8% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG CCSU
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 24.0%