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NC-Wilmgton vs. W Carolina
Wed Nov 25, 2020
4:00pm ET
Asheville, NC
(Neutral Site)
NC-Wilmgton vs. W Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Carolina by 4.5, Total Points: 157.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNCW | adv | WCU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-15-0 | 15-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 9-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-5-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| Away | 9-10-0 | 10-7-0 |
NC-Wilmgton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mount Olive | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | NC-Asheville | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Columbia International | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Murray St | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | App State | -2.5 | L by 30 | -32.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | -2.5 | W by 16 | +13.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | E Carolina | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Kentucky | +18.0 | W by 7 | +25.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Montreat | -- | W by 69 | -- |
| 12/16 | Away | GA Southern | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Marshall | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Arkansas | +10.5 | L by 16 | -5.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Drexel | +1.5 | L by 15 | -13.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Towson | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Monmouth | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Delaware | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Elon | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Col Charlestn | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Northeastrn | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Stony Brook | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Col Charlestn | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Campbell | -14.0 | W by 3 | -11.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Drexel | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Hampton | -12.5 | W by 30 | +17.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | NC A&T | -22.5 | W by 19 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Elon | -16.5 | L by 1 | -17.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Wm & Mary | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Campbell | -9.0 | L by 5 | -14.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Hofstra | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Towson | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Towson | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
W Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Dalton St. | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Notre Dame | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | Middle Tenn | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | McNeese St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Alabama | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | TN Tech | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Gard-Webb | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | High Point | +1.0 | L by 26 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | NC-Asheville | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | SC Upstate | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Vanderbilt | +3.5 | W by 1 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Brescia | -- | W by 38 | -- |
| 12/30 | Home | King College | -- | W by 28 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | Citadel | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Wofford | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | E Tenn St | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Mercer | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Samford | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Furman | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | VMI | -21.5 | W by 25 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Wofford | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Citadel | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Mercer | -7.0 | W by 33 | +26.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Samford | +6.5 | L by 26 | -19.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | E Tenn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | VMI | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Furman | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Chattanooga | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Furman | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| WCU -4.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2770 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Carolina won the game 1787 times (64.5%).
- The team like UNC Wilmington won the game 983 times (35.5%).
- The team like Western Carolina did better against the spread, going 1384-1317-69 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 17 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Western Carolina did better against the spread, going 10-7 (58.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -3.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/25 04:05 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/25 03:47 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 03:45 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/25 01:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/25 01:11 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 12:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 12:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/25 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 11/25 11:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/25 11:23 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 11:17 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 11/25 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/25 10:11 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 09:23 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 11/25 08:47 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 11/25 01:50 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 09:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/24 09:04 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 11/24 08:50 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 08:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/24 04:23 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 04:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/24 04:01 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 02:35 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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