NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCW COFC
Points 76.9 80.5
Total Points   157.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 30.6
Points From Free Throws 14.7 13.0
Shooting UNCW COFC
Field Goals Made 27.3 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 61.3
Field Goal % 45.9% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 14.7 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 18.0
Free Throw % 77.5% 72.3%
Ball Control UNCW COFC
Rebounds 32.5 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 11.9
Turnovers 7.8 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.5
Steals 5.2 3.7
Fouls 14.5 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Col Charlestn

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCW COFC
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 72.7
% of Possessions with UNCW COFC
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 32.8%
Player Fouled 21.4% 20.8%
Turnover 11.2% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCW COFC
Shot Blocked 4.1% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 33.6%