NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCW NE
Points 74.8 69.3
Total Points   144.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 18.2
Points From Free Throws 14.1 11.9
Shooting UNCW NE
Field Goals Made 26.3 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 53.9
Field Goal % 46.7% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 14.1 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 16.2
Free Throw % 77.5% 73.5%
Ball Control UNCW NE
Rebounds 30.1 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.4
Turnovers 8.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.6
Steals 5.6 3.8
Fouls 13.9 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Northeastrn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCW NE
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 64.5
% of Possessions with UNCW NE
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 24.0%
Player Fouled 22.3% 21.0%
Turnover 12.0% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCW NE
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 30.7%