NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG FOR
Points 59.2 68.9
Total Points   128.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 22.9
Points From Free Throws 13.0 13.0
Shooting WAG FOR
Field Goals Made 20.3 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 58.3
Field Goal % 37.2% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 39.3% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 13.0 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 19.3
Free Throw % 69.5% 67.2%
Ball Control WAG FOR
Rebounds 33.4 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 12.5
Turnovers 10.3 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.9
Steals 4.5 5.1
Fouls 15.0 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Wagner

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG FOR
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 70.7
% of Possessions with WAG FOR
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 32.6%
Player Fouled 21.9% 22.2%
Turnover 15.3% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG FOR
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 33.2%