NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG LIU
Points 67.5 62.5
Total Points   130.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 14.1
Points From Free Throws 13.7 11.1
Shooting WAG LIU
Field Goals Made 24.0 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 55.7
Field Goal % 40.5% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 27.4%
Free Throws Made 13.7 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 16.6
Free Throw % 69.5% 66.9%
Ball Control WAG LIU
Rebounds 38.3 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 7.8
Turnovers 8.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.8
Steals 6.1 4.0
Fouls 13.6 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: LIU

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG LIU
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 65.8
% of Possessions with WAG LIU
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 22.1%
Player Fouled 20.9% 19.8%
Turnover 11.6% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG LIU
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 22.1%