NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG MW
Points 58.5 62.4
Total Points   120.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 30.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 20.3
Points From Free Throws 10.4 11.9
Shooting WAG MW
Field Goals Made 21.4 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 51.8
Field Goal % 37.6% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 28.1
2 Point Shooting % 40.7% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 10.4 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 15.9
Free Throw % 69.5% 74.8%
Ball Control WAG MW
Rebounds 38.6 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 5.9
Turnovers 11.5 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.1
Steals 5.4 5.9
Fouls 14.5 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Wagner

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG MW
Total Possessions 66.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 61.4
% of Possessions with WAG MW
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 32.5%
Player Fouled 18.3% 21.9%
Turnover 17.4% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG MW
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.8% 18.4%