NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STON BING
Points 75.2 67.5
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 20.0
Points From Free Throws 16.1 12.5
Shooting STON BING
Field Goals Made 25.9 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 58.9
Field Goal % 44.5% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 16.1 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 18.9
Free Throw % 72.8% 66.4%
Ball Control STON BING
Rebounds 36.5 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 9.7
Turnovers 7.4 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.3
Steals 5.5 4.0
Fouls 14.5 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Stony Brook

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STON BING
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 70.2
% of Possessions with STON BING
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 25.8%
Player Fouled 21.6% 20.6%
Turnover 10.4% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken STON BING
Shot Blocked 4.0% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 25.3%