NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STON YALE
Points 67.6 73.2
Total Points   140.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 26.0
Points From Free Throws 12.2 12.0
Shooting STON YALE
Field Goals Made 23.9 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 60.1
Field Goal % 42.0% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 12.2 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 17.1
Free Throw % 72.8% 69.8%
Ball Control STON YALE
Rebounds 34.4 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 9.4
Turnovers 9.0 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.4
Steals 4.6 5.6
Fouls 14.1 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Stony Brook

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STON YALE
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 70.4
% of Possessions with STON YALE
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 29.8%
Player Fouled 19.5% 20.5%
Turnover 13.1% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken STON YALE
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 25.7%