NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STON ALBY
Points 81.4 76.6
Total Points   158.0
Points From 2-Pointers 47.7 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 28.4
Points From Free Throws 17.7 12.8
Shooting STON ALBY
Field Goals Made 29.2 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 64.7
Field Goal % 49.4% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 23.8 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 17.7 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 17.4
Free Throw % 72.8% 73.9%
Ball Control STON ALBY
Rebounds 37.9 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 11.3
Turnovers 9.9 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.2
Steals 6.1 6.7
Fouls 12.8 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Albany

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STON ALBY
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 75.4
% of Possessions with STON ALBY
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 31.2%
Player Fouled 22.3% 17.2%
Turnover 13.3% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken STON ALBY
Shot Blocked 3.4% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 28.4%