NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STON NJIT
Points 76.0 65.7
Total Points   141.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 26.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 26.3
Points From Free Throws 16.8 12.4
Shooting STON NJIT
Field Goals Made 26.0 22.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 61.6
Field Goal % 46.0% 36.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 13.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 39.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 16.8 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 17.3
Free Throw % 72.8% 72.1%
Ball Control STON NJIT
Rebounds 40.6 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 30.9 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.0
Turnovers 8.8 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.3
Steals 5.0 6.0
Fouls 12.6 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STON NJIT
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 72.2
% of Possessions with STON NJIT
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 34.0%
Player Fouled 23.1% 18.0%
Turnover 12.6% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken STON NJIT
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 26.2%