NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STON TOWS
Points 65.8 69.9
Total Points   135.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.5 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.0 21.5
Points From Free Throws 10.2 13.8
Shooting STON TOWS
Field Goals Made 23.1 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 58.8
Field Goal % 39.6% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 29.9 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 10.2 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 19.7
Free Throw % 73.4% 69.8%
Ball Control STON TOWS
Rebounds 32.9 41.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 13.6
Turnovers 8.8 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.8
Steals 4.1 5.8
Fouls 12.1 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STON TOWS
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 71.3
% of Possessions with STON TOWS
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 37.1% 26.0%
Player Fouled 19.1% 18.2%
Turnover 13.2% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken STON TOWS
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 36.3%