NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STON TOWS
Points 62.3 77.0
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 28.4
Points From Free Throws 12.2 10.7
Shooting STON TOWS
Field Goals Made 21.4 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.9 59.4
Field Goal % 41.2% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 12.2 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 15.8
Free Throw % 74.5% 67.7%
Ball Control STON TOWS
Rebounds 29.2 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 12.5
Turnovers 10.3 7.0
Blocked Shots 1.5 4.2
Steals 3.6 5.8
Fouls 12.1 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Stony Brook

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STON TOWS
Total Possessions 64.2
Effective Scoring Chances 61.5 69.7
% of Possessions with STON TOWS
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 33.2%
Player Fouled 21.2% 18.8%
Turnover 16.0% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken STON TOWS
Shot Blocked 7.1% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 36.6%