NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STON UNH
Points 76.6 71.0
Total Points   147.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 27.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 30.9
Points From Free Throws 12.6 12.9
Shooting STON UNH
Field Goals Made 28.3 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 61.2
Field Goal % 46.4% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 13.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 12.6 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 17.0
Free Throw % 72.8% 76.0%
Ball Control STON UNH
Rebounds 39.7 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.2 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 8.0
Turnovers 9.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 1.3
Steals 6.5 6.1
Fouls 13.8 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: N Hampshire

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STON UNH
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 71.1
% of Possessions with STON UNH
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 37.2%
Player Fouled 17.7% 18.9%
Turnover 13.3% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken STON UNH
Shot Blocked 2.1% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 20.3%