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Florida St at Stanford
Sat Jan 25, 2025
7:00pm ET
Stanford, CA
Florida St at Stanford: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Stanford by 4.5, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FSU | adv | STAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-13-1 | 16-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-7-1 | 9-9-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 10-6-1 | 9-9-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-0 | 7-7-1 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Alcorn St | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 11/07 | Home | Alabama St | -25.0 | W by 37 | +12.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Florida | +18.0 | L by 2 | +16.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | UT Martin | -20.0 | W by 14 | -6.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Georgia So | -18.5 | W by 26 | +7.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | CS Bakersfield | -25.0 | W by 30 | +5.0 |
| 11/28 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -1.5 | L by 36 | -37.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Georgia | -1.0 | L by 34 | -35.0 |
| 12/06 | Neutral | Houston | +13.0 | L by 15 | -2.0 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | UMass | -13.0 | L by 8 | -21.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Dayton | +7.0 | L by 28 | -21.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Miss Valley St | -39.5 | W by 47 | +7.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Jacksonville | -23.5 | W by 24 | +0.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | North Carolina | +12.0 | L by 13 | -1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Duke | +16.5 | L by 4 | +12.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | NC State | +4.5 | L by 44 | -39.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Wake Forest | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Miami | +11.0 | W by 2 | +13.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | SMU | +12.0 | L by 3 | +9.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | California | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Stanford | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Notre Dame | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Virginia | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Virginia Tech | +5.0 | W by 23 | +28.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Boston College | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Clemson | +8.5 | W by 5 | +13.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Miami | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Georgia Tech | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | Pittsburgh | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | SMU | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | California | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Duke | +16.5 | L by 1 | +15.5 |
Stanford Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Portland St | -10.5 | W by 10 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Montana | -12.0 | W by 23 | +11.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Montana St | -14.5 | W by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Louisiana | -21.5 | W by 27 | +5.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Seattle | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | Minnesota | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 11/28 | Neutral | Saint Louis | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Portland | -19.0 | W by 22 | +3.0 |
| 12/07 | Home | UNLV | -9.5 | L by 1 | -10.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | San Jose St | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | UT Arlington | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Colorado | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | CS Northridge | -15.5 | W by 8 | -7.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Notre Dame | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Louisville | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Virginia Tech | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Virginia | +12.5 | L by 15 | -2.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | North Carolina | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Duke | +11.0 | L by 30 | -19.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | California | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | Miami | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Florida St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Clemson | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia Tech | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | Boston College | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | California | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | SMU | +1.5 | W by 20 | +21.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | Notre Dame | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | NC State | +9.5 | W by 1 | +10.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | L by 1 | -5.5 |
| 04/02 | Neutral | West Virginia | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| STAN -4.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3620 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Stanford won the game 2338 times (64.6%).
- The team like Florida State won the game 1282 times (35.4%).
- The team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 1800-1768-52 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5011 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 2473-2453-85 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -5.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/25 11:08 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 11:05 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/25 09:05 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/24 10:06 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:05 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/24 08:35 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
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