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Florida St at Notre Dame
Sat Mar 6, 2021
12:00pm ET
South Bend, IN
Florida St at Notre Dame: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida State by 7, Total Points: 152.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FSU | adv | ND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-1 | 18-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-10-0 | 14-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 8-8-1 | 8-9-0 | |
| Away | 8-8-0 | 10-6-0 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Home | Kennesaw St | -10.5 | W by 27 | +16.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Central Mich | -20.5 | W by 27 | +6.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Florida | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | UNLV | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Colorado | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | N Carolina | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | S Florida | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Methodist | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | N Florida | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Winthrop | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Lipscomb | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | GA Tech | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Wake Forest | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Notre Dame | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Miami | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Clemson | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Syracuse | +3.5 | W by 16 | +19.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Carolina | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Louisville | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Boston Col | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Virginia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | VA Tech | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Duke | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Boston Col | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Clemson | +10.0 | L by 11 | -1.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | NC State | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Pittsburgh | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | VA Tech | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 25 | -14.0 |
Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Niagara | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | W Carolina | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +14.5 | L by 24 | -9.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Maryland ES | -12.0 | W by 20 | +8.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Miami | +14.5 | L by 13 | +1.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | W Michigan | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Marquette | +20.0 | L by 19 | +1.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Georgetown | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Citadel | -8.5 | L by 20 | -28.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Marist | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Virginia | +9.5 | W by 22 | +31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | NC State | +5.0 | L by 2 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Duke | +14.5 | L by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | GA Tech | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Florida St | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Miami | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Boston Col | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Virginia | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Pittsburgh | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 18 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | VA Tech | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | GA Tech | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Louisville | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Syracuse | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Wake Forest | +6.5 | W by 5 | +11.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | N Carolina | +16.0 | L by 33 | -17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | VA Tech | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | GA Tech | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| FSU -7.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1125 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida State won the game 828 times (73.6%).
- The team like Notre Dame won the game 297 times (26.4%).
- The team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 558-541-26 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 710 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 352-330-28 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.5 | -7.0 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.5 | -6.5 |
| History | |||
| 03/06 12:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/06 11:59 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 11:55 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/06 11:26 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 11:25 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/06 10:56 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/06 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 03/06 10:24 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 03/06 10:21 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 09:59 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 09:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/06 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/06 09:26 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 09:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/06 08:56 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/06 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 03/06 08:20 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 08:04 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/06 07:41 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 07:35 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 03/06 07:15 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/06 04:50 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 03:25 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/06 02:02 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 01:45 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/06 12:59 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/05 09:02 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 08:14 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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