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Florida St at N Carolina
Sat Feb 27, 2021
4:00pm ET
Chapel Hill, NC
Florida St at N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida State by 2, Total Points: 153
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FSU | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-1 | 21-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-10-0 | 13-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-8-1 | 8-7-0 | |
| Away | 8-8-0 | 13-9-0 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Home | Kennesaw St | -10.5 | W by 27 | +16.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Central Mich | -20.5 | W by 27 | +6.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Florida | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | UNLV | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Colorado | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | N Carolina | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | S Florida | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Methodist | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | N Florida | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Winthrop | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Lipscomb | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | GA Tech | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Wake Forest | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Notre Dame | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Miami | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Clemson | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Syracuse | +3.5 | W by 16 | +19.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Carolina | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Louisville | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Boston Col | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Virginia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | VA Tech | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Duke | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Boston Col | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Clemson | +10.0 | L by 11 | -1.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | NC State | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Pittsburgh | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | VA Tech | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 25 | -14.0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Radford | -18.5 | W by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Lehigh | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -23.5 | W by 25 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Iowa | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Connecticut | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charl South | -30.5 | W by 45 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Clemson | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | NC State | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Syracuse | -12.0 | W by 36 | +24.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisville | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boston Col | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Wake Forest | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Florida St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Duke | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Clemson | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Syracuse | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | VA Tech | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | W by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC State | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Notre Dame | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Florida St | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | NC State | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wagner | -25.5 | W by 28 | +2.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Alabama | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| FSU -2.0 | Open | +4.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | +4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2318 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida State won the game 1272 times (54.9%).
- The team like North Carolina won the game 1046 times (45.1%).
- The team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 1130-1130-58 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 453 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 235-215-3 (52.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| Open | -3.0 | -2.0 | -3.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/27 04:02 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 03:54 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 02/27 03:45 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 02/27 03:26 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 03:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/27 02:47 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 01:54 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 02/27 01:44 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 01:35 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 01:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/27 01:02 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 12:55 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 02/27 12:34 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/27 12:29 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 12:15 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 02/27 11:59 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:20 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:44 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 02/27 10:38 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 02/27 10:02 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 09:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/27 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/27 09:32 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 08:50 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 08:14 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 05:41 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 04:11 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 02:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 02:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 02/26 10:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 02/26 08:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 08:38 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 07:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/26 07:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:44 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 02/26 06:29 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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