NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU FDU
Points 71.8 74.8
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.3 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 18.3
Points From Free Throws 12.9 19.0
Shooting LIU FDU
Field Goals Made 26.5 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 60.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 28.6%
Free Throws Made 12.9 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 27.4
Free Throw % 66.9% 69.4%
Ball Control LIU FDU
Rebounds 38.5 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.2
Turnovers 13.8 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.8
Steals 5.8 8.5
Fouls 18.1 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: LIU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU FDU
Total Possessions 76.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 76.5
% of Possessions with LIU FDU
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.7% 24.3%
Player Fouled 20.1% 23.7%
Turnover 18.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU FDU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 25.7%